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Four billion to own mobiles by 2010

Handset ownership becomes basic human right

Ultra-low-cost handsets will push the worldwide market for mobile phones to 2.6 billion this year and four billion by 2010, according to research firm iSuppli.

New subscribers in developing nations such as India and China are behind the rapid increase in mobile phone users, the researcher said, while the mobile industry has rallied to the cause with ultra-low-cost handsets.

Africa and the Middle East are also playing a key role in driving new subscriber growth, said Dale Ford, vice-president of market intelligence for iSuppli. He believes mobile phones have become such an important tool for people to live and thrive that they are becoming a basic human right.

The ultra-low-cost mobile phone initiative started early last year as a way to connect people to existing mobile networks. GSMA (the GSM Association) challenged handset makers to design a phone that would cost under £15. The eventual winner, Motorola, won the contest, as well as a contract to supply phones to network operators in emerging markets including Bangladesh, China, India and Russia, which ordered millions of the handsets under the GSMA-sponsored programme.

iSuppli believes India will drive growth for ultra-low-cost handsets next year. The nation will be home to 405 million mobile phone subscribers by 2010, up from 140 million at the end of this year, the market researcher says.

The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India reports that as of the end of September, there were 129.5 million mobile phone users in the country, a huge increase from 75.9 million at the end of last year.

In China, the figure climbed to 443.2 million at the end of September, up from 393 million at the end of last year, according to the Ministry of Information Industry, that country's telecom industry regulator.

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