Imposing VAT on the Kenya's ICT products will hurt the rural and underprivileged parts of the Kenyan population, says Jussi Hinkkanen, Vice President, Corporate Relations, Nokia India, Middle East and Africa. The VAT holiday was designed to speed up Internet penetration growth in the country, which so far a great progress has been achieved.

Hinkkanen notes that, official Communication Commission of Kenya (CCK) reported figures do not tell the whole picture. According to CCK mobile handset penetration is around 77 percent, but when you clean this from duplicate SIM-cards and devices, the real penetration figure is somewhere around 30-35 percent or around 60 percent of addressable population (15-65 year olds). Meaning that much of the population is still uncovered.

Since much of the urban population is already covered. But rural areas are lagging behind with access levels as low as 10-15 percent. Reintroduction of VAT will further build up barriers between urban and rural dwellers and as PC penetration remains low in emerging economies, mobile phones can assist in cost effectively closing the penetration gap with more developed nations

For instance Ghana, Rwanda, Senegal as well as Kenya have demonstrated the abolition of taxes speeds up growth of ICT penetration in the country e.g. 7 percentage point increase in Kenya over 6 months post reduction from the prior. The current penetration levels in Kenya that surpassed Nigeria can be attributed to the abolition of VAT on ICTs.

Re-introduction of VAT on ICT products will have negative effects not only on mobile penetration growth but on Kenyan ICT industry and overall economy as well, VAT on ICT would slow down penetration growth, particularly internet access that will have a negative impact on the national broadband strategy objectives.

Emerging Kenyan ICT industry heavily relies on rapid growth of data penetration, VAT increase would potentially slow down the progress of Kenya becoming the de-factor hub for African ICT development. At the end of the day, this will impact multiple Vision 2030 developments.

Maintaining zero percent VAT on ICT products in Kenya would maintain greater accessibility to data and communication services, help in closing digital divide and driving economic performance whereas restoration of VAT will only cause a temporary increase in government tax revenues

"The resulting decrease in growth of mobile activity and slower penetration growth will impact negatively on the economy resulting smaller tax base than by maintaining the current tax exemption on mobile handsets", says Hinkkanen. 

Dr. Tonny K. Omwansa, School of Computing and Informatics, University of Nairobi says by introducing the tariff, the young IT industry will experience great pressure that will slow the momentum towards cash-lite society.  

The digital economy penetration at rural areas will be affected most, the government will meet its short-term goals but longterm effect will negate all these short-term goals.

Omwansa says as a gardener, the government should:

1.Water the plants: by supporting innovations by providing appropriate financial support

2.Remove the weeds and pests: by removing regulatory, institutional or competitive obstacles to innovation

3.Fertilizing the soil: by strengthening the knowledge base through investment in education and research.